forecasted turnout
Each day, we use our models to forecast the outcomes in all upcoming state and federal general elections with filed candidates. This table includes our latest voter turnout estimate in upcoming elections, organized by district.
Field | Description |
|---|---|
district id | Unique ID maintained by Deck representing a specific political district. We define a district as a geographic subdivision of a jurisdiction that is associated with a specific office. For example, Idaho State House District 2 is a single district. Its associated office is Idaho State House and its associated jurisdiction is Idaho. (For jurisdiction-wide offices, like Governor and Mayor, the district can encompass the entirety of its jurisdiction.) |
election id | Unique ID maintained by Deck representing a specific election. We define an election as an opportunity for registered voters in a given jurisdiction to cast a ballot for one or more offices. |
predicted votes | The number of raw votes Deck expects to be cast in a given district during a given election. Note: we only provide estimates at 3 significant digits to avoid the impression of false precision. |
margin of error | The margin of error (in votes) in our turnout prediction at a 95% confidence level. Note: we only provide estimates at 3 significant digits to avoid the impression of false precision. |
[
{
"district_id": "d9fa3220-7f83-469e-af48-8bb4f4b863c0",
"election_id": "a0f250f0-c69c-460b-9c0f-74e502ef053c",
"predicted_votes": "49500",
"margin_of_error": "400"
}
]
Last modified 2mo ago