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person ballot

This table includes probability scores that can be used to predict which people are most likely request a vote-by-mail ballot, return their vote-by-mail ballot, take more than two weeks to return their ballot, and have their ballot accepted. Currently, all scores reference the November 8, 2022 general election.

Schema

Field
Description
targetsmart voterbase id
TargetSmart's unique indicator for a person record.
state
The two-letter abbreviation for the state that a given voter is registered in.
county fips
A unique 5-digit code, maintained by the U.S. Census, assigned to each county. (The first two digits repeat state_fips.)
block fips 2010
A 15-digit code, maintained by the U.S. Census, representing the smallest level of Census geography: the Census block (based on the 2010 Census).
block fips 2020
A 15-digit code, maintained by the U.S. Census, representing the smallest level of Census geography: the Census block (based on the 2020 Census).
ballot request score
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person will request a vote-by-mail ballot.
ballot return score
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person would return a vote-by-mail ballot if they received one in the mail.
ballot acceptance score
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person's returned vote-by-mail ballot would be accepted. (This score is useful for identifying voters who might need more support completing their ballot correctly.)

Example entry

[
{
"targetsmart_voterbase_id": "SD-000000208085",
"state": "SD",
"county_fips": "46123",
"block_fips_2010": "461239717001044",
"block_fips_2020": "461239717001014",
"ballot_request_score": "0.066",
"ballot_return_score": "0.534",
"ballot_acceptance_score": "0.968"
}
]