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person campaign generic

This table includes probability scores estimating the voting behaviors of each person with a record in the national TargetSmart VoterBase file based on a generic Democrat versus Republican campaign. These behaviors include whether a person will vote, which party a person is most likely to support, whether a person will make a financial contribution and whether a person might have flexible partisanship.

Schema

Field
Description
targetsmart voterbase id
TargetSmart's unique indicator for a person record.
state
The two-letter abbreviation for the state that a given voter is registered in.
county fips
A unique 5-digit code, maintained by the U.S. Census, assigned to each county. (The first two digits repeat state_fips.)
block fips 2010
A 15-digit code, maintained by the U.S. Census, representing the smallest level of Census geography: the Census block (based on the 2010 Census).
block fips 2020
A 15-digit code, maintained by the U.S. Census, representing the smallest level of Census geography: the Census block (based on the 2020 Census).
support score general federal
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person would support a Democratic candidate for federal office in a general election.
support score general local
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person would support a Democratic candidate for local office in a general election.
support score general state
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person would support a Democratic candidate for state office in a general election.
support score primary progressive
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person would support a progressive candidate in a Democratic primary election.
partisan elasticity score state local
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person is open to voting for different parties in races for state or local office.
partisan elasticity score federal
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person is open to voting for different parties in races for federal office.
contributor score
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person would contribute money to a Democratic campaign.
turnout score general midterm
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person would turn out to vote in a midterm general election.
turnout score general non november
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person would turn out to vote in a non-November general election.
turnout score general odd year
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person would turn out to vote in an odd year general election.
turnout score general presidential
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person would turn out to vote in a presidential general election.
turnout score primary midterm
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person would turn out to vote in a midterm primary election.
turnout score primary odd year
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person would turn out to vote in an odd year primary election.
turnout score primary presidential
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person would turn out to vote in a presidential primary election.

Example entry

[
{
"targetsmart_voterbase_id": "FL-22456068",
"state": "FL",
"county_fips": "12011",
"block_fips_2010": "120110703164001",
"block_fips_2020": "120110703164003",
"support_score_general_federal": "0.61",
"support_score_general_state": "0.61",
"support_score_general_local": "0.61",
"support_score_primary_progressive": "0.637",
"partisan_elasticity_score_state_local": "0.098",
"partisan_elasticity_score_federal": "0.174",
"contributor_score": "0.052",
"turnout_score_general_presidential": "0.388",
"turnout_score_primary_presidential": "0.016",
"turnout_score_general_midterm": "0.14",
"turnout_score_primary_midterm": "0.034",
"turnout_score_general_odd_year": "0.147",
"turnout_score_primary_odd_year": "0.007",
"turnout_score_general_non_november": "0.053"
}
]