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person past support

This table includes probability scores that can be used to predict how a person would have voted in past elections. All current registered voters have each of these scores, regardless of their participation in past elections. (So even a newly-registered 18 year old will have a score predicting whether they would have voted for Barack Obama in 2012, for example.)

Schema

Field
Description
targetsmart voterbase id
TargetSmart's unique indicator for a person record.
state
The two-letter abbreviation for the state that a given voter is registered in.
county fips
A unique 5-digit code, maintained by the U.S. Census, assigned to each county. (The first two digits repeat state_fips.)
block fips 2010
A 15-digit code, maintained by the U.S. Census, representing the smallest level of Census geography: the Census block (based on the 2010 Census).
block fips 2020
A 15-digit code, maintained by the U.S. Census, representing the smallest level of Census geography: the Census block (based on the 2020 Census).
support us house democrat 2012
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person would have voted for a Democratic candidate rather than a Republican candidate in the 2012 congressional election.
support us house democrat 2014
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person would have voted for a Democratic candidate rather than a Republican candidate in the 2014 congressional election.
support us house democrat 2016
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person would have voted for a Democratic candidate rather than a Republican candidate in the 2016 congressional election.
support us house democrat 2018
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person would have voted for a Democratic candidate rather than a Republican candidate in the 2018 congressional election.
support us house democrat 2020
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person would have voted for a Democratic candidate rather than a Republican candidate in the 2020 congressional election.
support obama 2012
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person would have voted for Barack Obama for US President in 2012.
support clinton 2016
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person would have voted for Hillary Clinton for US President in 2016.
support biden 2020
A probability (on a scale of 0.0 to 1.0) that a given person would have voted for Joe Biden for US President in 2020.

Example entry

[
{
"targetsmart_voterbase_id": "SC-4912560",
"state": "SC",
"county_fips": "45063",
"block_fips_2010": "450630214042014",
"block_fips_2020": "450630214042019",
"support_us_house_democrat_2012": "0.213220703798841",
"support_us_house_democrat_2014": "0.07066999902352683",
"support_us_house_democrat_2016": "0.024409017549062835",
"support_us_house_democrat_2018": "0.017266671397040093",
"support_us_house_democrat_2020": "0.01409826191539508",
"support_obama_2012": "0.26198396867465878",
"support_clinton_2016": "2.5923811444932107e-05",
"support_biden_2020": "0.0018194624439848567"
}
]